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Published in Sweden - Financial analysis - 16 Jul 2026 13:54 - 1

What is the real price of a product?

Most of us open the market, look at the cheapest offer, and use that number as the answer.

But what if only a small amount is available there?

The first offer may show the cheapest possible purchase, but it does not always show the price where
meaningful supply exists. A market can look cheap at the edge while most of its stock is sitting at
a higher price.

So this time I am looking at both sides of the market:

- the price
- the amount actually available at that price
- the practical price zone where a meaningful part of the supply sits
- the total amount currently offered on the world markets
- the latest official quantity reported in the whole world

The result gives us a different view of the economy.

========================================
THE MARKET EDGE VS THE REAL MARKET
========================================

The cheapest offer is real.

It is just not necessarily the real market price.

Imagine that the first seller offers 4,000 weapons at 8.5g PP1k, while another 200,000 weapons sit
around 9.5-10g PP1k.

A small buyer may really pay 8.5g PP1k.

A military unit or large trader cannot buy its full amount there. For them, the useful market price
is closer to 9.5-10g PP1k.

That is the difference between the best edge and the practical price zone.

The best edge tells us where the market begins.

The practical zone tells us where the market actually has depth.

========================================
EXAMPLE: Q6 ARMY WEAPONS
========================================

At the measured moment, Q6 army weapons showed:

- Total visible market supply: 271,200
- Supply with a usable gold-equivalent price: 270,200
- Supply without a usable conversion: 1,000
- Latest official world quantity: 7,824,736
- Visible on the market: 3.47%
- Reliably priced on the market: 3.45%

The cheapest offer was 8.496g PP1k.

But only 4,200 weapons were available at the cheapest price.

The practical price zone was 9.5-10g PP1k, with the 25% supply point at 10g PP1k.

The visible supply was divided like this:

- At the cheapest price: 4,200
- Up to twice the cheapest price: 234,600
- Above twice the cheapest price: 31,400

So yes, 8.496g PP1k was available.

But it was the edge, not the center of the market.

For anyone buying a serious amount, the market was closer to 9.5-10g PP1k.

========================================
HOW MUCH OF THE WORLD STOCK IS FOR SALE?
========================================

The latest official report counted 7.82 million Q6 army weapons in the world.

Only 271,200 were publicly visible in this market snapshot.

That means only about one Q6 weapon out of every 29 in the reported world stock was actually offered
for sale.

The other 96.53% did not disappear.

It may be sitting in player storage, military unit reserves, organizations, companies, or other
private inventories. It exists in the world quantity, but an ordinary buyer cannot purchase it from
the public market.

This is the difference between stock and liquidity.

World stock tells us how much exists.

Market supply tells us how much is available now.

========================================
THE MAIN MARKET PICTURE
========================================

Snapshot: July 16, 2026 at 20:42 UTC. Official comparison: Game Day 822 world quantity report.

Product / quality      Market amount    Official amount    Market %    Practical zone      Best edge
Food Mat.                  2,459,890          7,338,323        33.5%    0.05-0.05g PP1k      0.048g PP1k
Weapon Mat.                1,325,559          6,947,927        19.1%    0.24-0.52g PP1k      0.15g PP1k
House Mat.                    918,266          4,341,374        21.2%    0.336-0.5g PP1k      0.25g PP1k
Ship Mat.                    917,032          3,570,577        25.7%    0.24-0.5g PP1k      0.2g PP1k
Food Q1                        6,000              25,775        23.3%    0.45-0.45g PP1k      0.45g PP1k
Food Q2                        11,700            245,545        4.76%    0.65-0.65g PP1k      0.65g PP1k
Food Q3                      564,725          2,820,002        20.0%    0.96-1.38g PP1k      0.9g PP1k
Food Q4                      405,747          2,830,092        14.3%    1.68-8.16g PP1k      1.5g PP1k
Food Q5                    1,876,832          23,731,122        7.91%    2.16-2.5g PP1k      2g PP1k
Army Weapons Q1              143,084          1,541,320        9.28%    9.95-13.44g PP1k    5.55g PP1k
Army Weapons Q2                84,886          1,431,516        5.93%    5.6-10.56g PP1k      5.55g PP1k
Army Weapons Q3              367,116          2,142,332        17.1%    7.2-9.95g PP1k      6.25g PP1k
Army Weapons Q4              262,202          4,856,418        5.40%    6.75-6.96g PP1k      6.7g PP1k
Army Weapons Q5              251,361          5,964,530        4.21%    10.15-12g PP1k      10.1g PP1k
Army Weapons Q6              271,200          7,824,736        3.47%    9.5-10g PP1k        8.496g PP1k
Navy Weapons Q1              123,001          1,252,811        9.82%    6.2-9.95g PP1k      5.7g PP1k
Navy Weapons Q2              108,090          1,230,375        8.79%    7.2-11g PP1k        6.45g PP1k
Navy Weapons Q3              153,101          1,362,420        11.2%    7.2-9.9g PP1k        7.2g PP1k
Navy Weapons Q4                92,398          3,769,073        2.45%    8-8g PP1k            8g PP1k
Navy Weapons Q5              121,946          3,982,620        3.06%    9.45-10.85g PP1k    9.45g PP1k
Navy Weapons Q6              157,698          6,092,720        2.59%    10.9-14.9g PP1k      10.85g PP1k
House Q1                          499              8,712        5.73%    1.92-2.9g PP1        0.95g PP1
House Q2                          425              6,808        6.24%    2.4-3g PP1          1.25g PP1
House Q3                          245              6,036        4.06%    1.85-2.88g PP1      1.75g PP1
House Q4                          170              4,182        4.07%    3.8-3.85g PP1        3.648g PP1
House Q5                          182              3,435        5.30%    4.464-6g PP1        4.464g PP1
House Q6                          14                659        2.12%    72-150g PP1          72g PP1
House Q7                          85                880        9.66%    11.35-12.45g PP1    11.3g PP1
Hospital Q1                        39                  20      195.0%    18.672-18.672g PP1  18g PP1
Hospital Q2                        11                  42        26.2%    72-72g PP1          72g PP1
Hospital Q3                        0                  11      0.000%    n/a                  n/a
Hospital Q4                        1                  1      100.0%    35-35g PP1          35g PP1
Hospital Q5                        18                  70        25.7%    28.32-30g PP1        28.32g PP1
Defense System Q1                  18                  16      112.5%    19.2-72g PP1        19.2g PP1
Defense System Q2                  4                  6        66.7%    24.95-24.95g PP1    24.95g PP1
Defense System Q3                  1                  22        4.55%    44.2-44.2g PP1      44.2g PP1
Defense System Q4                  2                  5        40.0%    104-104g PP1        104g PP1
Defense System Q5                  55                159        34.6%    48-48g PP1          48g PP1

========================================
WHAT STANDS OUT?
========================================

Q5 food has the largest visible amount in this selection: almost 1.88 million. Even that is only
7.91% of the 23.73 million in the official report. Its 2-2.5g PP1k market is relatively compact, so
the cheapest edge is supported by real supply.

Q5 army weapons show a similar shape. The best edge is 10.1g PP1k and the practical zone begins at
10.15g PP1k. A large buyer, however, may eventually move toward 12g PP1k.

Q5 navy weapons are less available. Only 121,946 are visible against an official quantity of almost
3.98 million: just 3.06%. Its practical zone reaches 10.85g PP1k.

Q4 food is one of the stranger markets. It has 405,747 visible units and a cheap edge of 1.5g PP1k,
but its practical zone stretches from 1.68g to 8.16g PP1k. More than 244,000 units sit above twice the
cheapest price. The market has quantity, but much of it is expensive.

Q6 houses are the opposite: almost no market exists. Only 14 houses are visible from an official
quantity of 659. The practical zone runs from 72g to 150g PP1, with only four offers. One buyer could
change that market immediately.

Raw materials are much more exposed than most finished combat products. Visible food material equals
33.5% of the official amount, ship material 25.7%, house material 21.2%, and weapon material 19.1%.

Q1 defense systems also show why the older report is only a baseline: 18 are now on the market against
16 in the Day 822 report, or 112.5%. Production and inventories have changed since that report; the
official figure is not a live ceiling.

========================================
READING THE PRICE ZONE
========================================

To avoid letting one cheap offer define the entire market, I divided priced supply by
cumulative quantity.

- The 10% point is the price needed to reach 10% of the priced supply.
- The 25% point is the price needed to reach 25%.
- The 50% point is the price needed to reach half of the priced supply.

The range between the 10% and 50% points is used here as the practical price zone.

It is not a prediction of tomorrow's price.

It is a description of today's visible supply.

If the cheapest offer and practical zone are close, the market has real supply near its lowest
price.

If they are far apart, the cheap edge is thin and larger buyers will quickly reach more expensive
offers.

========================================
VISIBLE BUT NOT ALWAYS COMPARABLE
========================================

World offers use many national currencies.

Most can be converted into a gold-equivalent price, but sometimes a currency does not have a usable
conversion rate at the moment of the snapshot.

Those offers still count as visible supply. They are not removed from the market amount.

They are separated because placing them inside the price zone would create a false comparison.

This is why the report distinguishes between:

- total visible supply
- reliably priced supply
- unpriced supply

When the total and priced amounts are close, the world price picture is strong.

When the gap is large, we know the product exists on the market, but its global price picture is
incomplete.

========================================
WHAT DIFFERENT MARKET SHAPES MEAN
========================================

High official stock + low market percentage

There are large world reserves, but little public liquidity. Most stock is being held rather than
sold.

Low official stock + high market percentage

A large share of everything known to exist is exposed on the public market.

High visible supply + narrow price zone

The market is deep. Larger purchases are less likely to move immediately into a very different price
level.

Low visible supply + wide price zone

The market is fragile. One buyer may clear the cheap offers and change the visible price quickly.

Large amount far above the cheapest price

The headline supply looks impressive, but part of it may not be practically available at a realistic
price.

========================================
WHO SHOULD CARE?
========================================

Fighters care because a cheap weapon price means little if there are not enough weapons for the next
battle.

Military units care because buying for many members can push them through several price levels.

Producers care because thin supply and rising practical zones may show where production is needed.

Traders care because the gap between the best edge and the real supply zone can reveal both
opportunity and risk.

Countries care because millions of products in world storage do not automatically create emergency
supply during a war.

The economy is not only about how much exists.

It is about how much holders are willing to sell.

========================================
METHODOLOGY AND LIMITS
========================================

- Market supply is the amount visible across the world markets at the snapshot time.
- Official amounts come from the Game Day 822 world quantity report.
- The official amount is total world stock, not daily production and not newly published market offers.
- Reliably priced supply requires a usable currency-to-gold conversion.
- Price zones are weighted by quantity, so a large offer matters more than a listing.
- The cheapest offer is included for context, but is not automatically treated as the real market price.
- Private trades and private inventories are not visible in public market supply.
- Market offers can change immediately after the snapshot.
- The official report and market snapshot come from different moments, so the comparison is an availability benchmark rather than a perfect accounting identity.

========================================
FINAL TAKEAWAY
========================================

The cheapest offer is useful.

But it is not enough.

A price of 8.496g PP1k means something very different when 4,200 units exist there than when 400,000
units exist there.

In the Q6 army weapons example, the market started around 8.5g PP1k, but meaningful supply was
closer to 9.5-10g PP1k.

At the same time, only 3.47% of the latest officially reported world stock was publicly visible.

That is the real market picture:

Not only what the first seller asks, but how much can actually be bought, where meaningful supply
begins, and how much of the world's stock is really available to the public.

What do you think of this market picture?

Which product looks healthy, which one looks dangerously thin, and which "cheap" market do you think
will turn expensive as soon as somebody tries to buy a serious amount?

Tell us what you see in the comments.

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SzarnyasbetyarTotolozu

Comments (1)

Wow, just realized I own 1/5 of the world's Navy Q3 stock and more than the market is offering